A recession in America?

Following the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve significantly raised interest rates on loans, leading to a gradual control of inflation. In this context, U.S. bond sales have become increasingly attractive, with interest rates reaching up to 6%, which encourages investors to prefer bonds over dollar investments. As the U.S. prepares to release August’s unemployment data, it is anticipated that changes in unemployment figures will have minimal impact.

Reports indicate that the U.S. might reduce bond interest rates by up to 2 percent. Despite uncertainties about a potential economic recession, Goldman Sachs has forecasted only a 20% chance of a recession occurring in the U.S. next year. Even if loan interest rates are cut, bond interest rates are expected to remain relatively high at around 6%.